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Analysis
ByJames KanagasooriamFebruary 23, 2024
Bi_Focal #13: Biden's Achilles Heel?

In this issue, we take a closer look at the prickly question of Biden's age. How will these concerns about Biden’s age shape the course of the election? The results from our investigation are below.

Joe Biden speaking at an event, wearing a suit and striped tie, with a focused expression.
Bi_Focal #13: Biden's Achilles Heel?
Analysis
ByJames KanagasooriamFebruary 20, 2024
Bi_Focal #12: How Biden can still beat Trump

After Donald Trump’s succession of early primary victories, and Nikki Haley’s stinging loss in Nevada on Tuesday, a Biden-Trump rematch seems all but inevitable come November. The outcome of that contest, however, is far from certain.

2024 U.S. electoral map showing projected Democrat and Republican support, with Democrats at 268 electoral votes and Republicans at 270, highlighting battleground states.
Bi_Focal #12: How Biden can still beat Trump
Analysis
ByJames KanagasooriamFebruary 13, 2024
Bi_Focal #11: What Explains Our Politics?

We look at how campaigning on social issues creates super-majorities in ways that on economic issues is more difficult. And we ask what polling on voting intention this far out implies for the next general election.

Scatter plot by Focaldata showing the relationship between social identity and economic authority, with density ellipses representing clusters.
Bi_Focal #11: What Explains Our Politics?
Analysis
ByJames KanagasooriamFebruary 7, 2024
Bi_Focal #10: The Rise and Rise of Reform

We look at whether the rise of Reform UK poses an existential threat to Conservative Party and why people feel drawn to Reform in the first place.

Scatterplot displaying the distribution of economic authority and social identity by party, including Labour, Conservative, Liberal Democrats, Reform UK, Green, and SNP, with additional categories for undecided and non-voters.
Bi_Focal #10: The Rise and Rise of Reform
Company
ByFocaldataDecember 20, 2023
2023: Year in Review

From deploying a new AI product to more than doubling our polling volumes, 2023 has been a busy year at Focaldata.

Focaldata 2023 in review.
2023: Year in Review
Polling
ByFocaldataDecember 19, 2023
These Islands: Scottish Independence Polling

Think tank These Islands ran a poll with Focaldata of 1,037 Scottish adults (18+). Fieldwork was conducted between 6-18 October 2023.

Bar chart comparing support for independence versus union across Yes/No and Remain/Leave questions, with margins for undecided responses.
These Islands: Scottish Independence Polling
Analysis
ByJames KanagasooriamOctober 11, 2023
Bi_Focal #9: Australia & the Voice referendum: The noes have it

On 14 October, Australian voters will cast their ballots in a historic referendum, known as ‘The Voice’. We forecast a "No" result.

Map of Australia showing referendum voting data by region, with colors indicating varying percentages of 'Yes' votes across states and territories.
Bi_Focal #9: Australia & the Voice referendum: The noes have it
Polling
ByJames KanagasooriamSeptember 15, 2023
Bi_Focal #8: Heartlands, winners and elastic seats

The Tory party has an identity crisis right now. Partly that’s because there’s confusion about their heartlands, what support they can rely on, and also which leaders have won them increased vote share in the past.

Map of England illustrating the elasticity of parliamentary seats with color coding, highlighting variability across regions.
Bi_Focal #8: Heartlands, winners and elastic seats

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